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Red30
280922.9
48082.8
425210.7
Blue10
154726.8
21859.1
48070.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443202060801003010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2809
#15
22.90.8
19.518.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
26.82.0
12.310.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4252
#26
10.71.0
13.312.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
2185
#24
9.12.0
12.010.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4808
#29
2.85.7
2.88.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
4807
#34
0.57.0
0.57.5
Auto
Teleop
End