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Red35
47279.8
46851.7
471817.6
Blue12
132512.8
35508.7
48070.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281804060803512

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4718
#10
17.60.5
15.816.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
1325
#16
12.80.4
9.18.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4727
#13
9.80.5
9.49.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
3550
#20
8.70.4
9.18.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4685
#33
1.70.5
1.21.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
4807
#34
0.50.4
0.90.5
Auto
Teleop
End