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Red21
357123.3
23868.8
415213.6
Blue138
403942.2
131046.1
78124.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35560208010012014021138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3571
#13
23.31.4
12.811.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.8
1310
#10
46.17.1
23.130.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4152
#14
13.61.4
10.38.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 28.6
42.27.1
11.118.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2386
#30
8.81.4
14.913.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.7
781
#15
24.54.3
18.322.6
Auto
Teleop
End