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Red151
124144.9
133430.3
111484.0
Blue134
130519.9
270233.0
131046.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162630100200250300151134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.00.2
76.276.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 37.9
1310
#10
46.14.3
37.742.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
44.90.2
46.046.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.9
33.02.8
22.325.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1334
#11
30.30.4
23.924.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.4
1305
#25
19.94.3
18.222.5
Auto
Teleop
End