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Red107
95535.3
247134.0
204622.3
Blue103
381233.5
314525.5
213031.4
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90936080100120140107103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#1
35.30.4
35.035.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
33.50.2
34.234.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2471
#19
34.00.4
33.634.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
31.40.2
32.132.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2046
#25
22.30.3
21.922.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
3145
#32
25.50.2
26.326.5
Auto
Teleop
End