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Red75
131824.7
405720.0
448815.7
Blue103
142520.6
36028.1
371121.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions556420408010012075103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1318
#13
24.70.4
23.323.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
360
#5
28.10.9
25.826.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4057
#14
20.00.4
18.619.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
3711
#21
21.20.9
18.819.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
15.70.4
14.314.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
1425
#55
20.60.9
18.319.2
Auto
Teleop
End