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Red0
44576.4
371121.2
40606.6
Blue23
255012.3
131824.7
412515.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4035010203050607080023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3711
#21
21.23.3
16.012.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
1318
#13
24.71.1
15.914.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4060
#59
6.63.3
13.910.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.7
4125
#36
15.31.1
10.79.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4457
#46
6.40.2
6.46.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
2550
#38
12.31.1
9.28.2
Auto
Teleop
End