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Red10
237422.9
319214.3
378712.8
Blue35
412725.5
200212.7
143213.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3330010204050601035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2374
#15
22.91.9
11.810.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
25.50.4
9.910.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3192
#42
14.31.9
11.59.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
1432
#22
13.50.4
8.58.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3787
#11
12.81.9
8.97.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2002
#27
12.70.4
11.612.0
Auto
Teleop
End