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Red24
44576.4
154024.4
204622.3
Blue25
36749.8
157111.3
371121.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52270204060801002425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#34
24.42.0
19.817.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
3711
#21
21.20.5
11.811.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2046
#25
22.32.0
19.417.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.0
1571
#43
11.30.5
9.79.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4457
#46
6.42.0
9.17.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
3674
#18
9.80.5
9.48.9
Auto
Teleop
End