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Red15
412725.5
405113.0
44576.4
Blue0
15106.3
41324.4
135915.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37380206080100150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.51.8
15.013.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.8
1359
#41
15.83.2
13.210.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4051
#56
13.01.8
14.712.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
1510
#58
6.33.1
16.113.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4457
#46
6.41.8
7.15.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
4132
#40
4.43.1
8.55.3
Auto
Teleop
End