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Red48
363610.1
75311.8
135915.8
Blue52
371121.2
378712.8
263513.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28480204060801004852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1359
#41
15.81.4
10.411.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
3711
#21
21.20.6
18.819.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
753
#44
11.81.4
12.714.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
13.80.6
13.414.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3636
#49
10.11.4
7.59.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
3787
#11
12.80.6
12.212.9
Auto
Teleop
End