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Red26
313111.3
251710.5
357415.7
Blue47
254212.5
255012.3
75311.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373101020506070802647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3574
#31
15.70.9
12.511.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
2542
#30
12.51.3
10.311.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3131
#23
11.30.8
11.811.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
2550
#38
12.31.2
7.58.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2517
#48
10.50.8
12.211.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
753
#44
11.81.2
14.115.3
Auto
Teleop
End