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Red95
213031.4
255012.3
182310.6
Blue56
157111.3
170011.9
405113.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47280204060801009556

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.43.7
28.932.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.4
4051
#56
13.01.8
11.113.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2550
#38
12.33.7
8.612.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1700
#50
11.91.8
10.011.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1823
#57
10.64.0
6.710.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1571
#43
11.31.8
9.411.3
Auto
Teleop
End