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Red100
2525.8
272931.6
253919.1
Blue101
27223.4
48624.7
164027.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7574657080859095100100101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.5
31.031.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
1640
#14
27.50.4
27.027.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
25
#27
25.80.4
25.325.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
486
#6
24.70.4
24.224.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2539
#15
19.10.4
18.619.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
272
#25
23.40.4
22.923.3
Auto
Teleop
End