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Red53
2525.8
253919.1
272931.6
Blue85
27223.4
48624.7
164027.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7875506070901001105385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.5
32.031.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
1640
#14
27.50.2
27.527.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
25
#27
25.80.4
26.225.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
486
#6
24.70.2
24.724.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2539
#15
19.10.4
19.519.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
272
#25
23.40.2
23.423.5
Auto
Teleop
End