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Red70
3047.4
272931.6
35726.3
Blue0
877.0
31515.6
121826.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions563702080100700

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.61.4
20.722.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
26.63.3
23.920.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
357
#18
26.31.4
25.927.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.2
87
#30
7.03.3
11.78.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
304
#32
7.41.4
6.78.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
3151
#34
5.63.3
4.41.1
Auto
Teleop
End