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Red53
140325.7
446010.5
27223.4
Blue68
164720.1
149517.9
222911.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50402060805368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.70.4
21.321.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
1647
#12
20.12.1
19.121.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
272
#25
23.40.3
18.218.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
1495
#16
17.92.1
12.814.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4460
#22
10.50.4
9.39.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
2229
#33
11.82.1
9.511.6
Auto
Teleop
End