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Red126
164027.5
259042.9
312313.0
Blue114
2525.8
27223.4
10337.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64782040100120140160126114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.94.0
36.040.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
103
#17
37.32.3
31.734.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1640
#14
27.53.7
23.226.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
25
#27
25.82.3
23.225.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3123
#28
13.03.7
6.510.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.4
272
#25
23.42.3
20.823.2
Auto
Teleop
End