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Red81
272931.6
223413.1
149517.9
Blue69
121826.6
397432.0
192316.3
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5676020401001201401608169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.61.4
29.430.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
3974
#11
32.00.2
30.830.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1495
#16
17.91.3
17.418.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.7
26.60.3
25.925.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2234
#26
13.11.3
12.513.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
1923
#31
16.30.2
16.216.0
Auto
Teleop
End