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Red43
35726.3
171211.6
149517.9
Blue82
260722.1
164027.5
272931.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions548401001504382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
357
#18
26.30.8
27.126.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
31.60.1
30.931.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1495
#16
17.90.8
18.717.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.7
1640
#14
27.50.1
26.927.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1712
#21
11.60.8
12.511.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.5
22.10.1
21.922.1
Auto
Teleop
End