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Red150
259042.9
312313.0
34137.4
Blue120
255919.0
10337.3
36527.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92814060100120140150120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.91.1
41.742.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
103
#17
37.30.6
36.737.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
341
#13
37.41.0
36.337.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.6
365
#4
27.90.6
27.227.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3123
#28
13.01.0
11.912.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
2559
#19
19.00.6
18.419.0
Auto
Teleop
End