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Red16
392910.8
445411.7
218010.4
Blue46
35724.2
83412.7
31628.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33530204060801001646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4454
#28
11.71.7
7.45.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.1
316
#11
28.80.4
17.517.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3929
#31
10.81.7
14.212.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.4
357
#15
24.20.2
23.423.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2180
#27
10.41.7
14.913.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
834
#16
12.70.2
9.49.2
Auto
Teleop
End