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Red58
139115.8
457526.2
463714.6
Blue45
445411.7
35724.2
149522.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384702060801005845

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.21.5
20.321.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
357
#15
24.20.0
22.422.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1391
#24
15.81.5
12.714.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
1495
#18
22.20.0
17.517.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4637
#17
14.61.5
6.78.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
4454
#28
11.70.1
5.85.8
Auto
Teleop
End