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Red149
70822.3
34142.3
31628.8
Blue68
222913.5
253929.9
48417.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8157204010012014014968

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#2
42.33.6
35.939.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.4
29.90.4
28.929.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
316
#11
28.84.8
24.329.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.3
484
#12
17.50.5
18.118.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
708
#7
22.33.6
17.020.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
2229
#13
13.50.4
13.914.3
Auto
Teleop
End