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Red42
48417.5
31628.8
3216.8
Blue23
83412.7
43318.2
139115.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55472040801001204223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#11
28.80.7
29.128.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.5
433
#20
18.21.5
16.314.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
484
#12
17.50.7
18.617.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
1391
#24
15.81.5
18.517.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
321
#29
6.80.7
6.45.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
834
#16
12.71.2
13.211.9
Auto
Teleop
End