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Red9
40324.1
326020.8
45477.7
Blue41
264114.5
29120.3
402714.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3248020406080100120941

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3260
#15
20.82.1
16.514.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
291
#7
20.30.3
16.215.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4547
#40
7.72.1
10.78.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.2
14.90.3
14.113.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4032
#45
4.12.1
7.25.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.4
2641
#26
14.50.3
14.914.5
Auto
Teleop
End