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Red44
415015.1
62023.4
403112.8
Blue18
29120.3
225228.6
42891.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394101020305060704418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#33
23.40.4
14.314.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
28.61.8
17.015.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4150
#17Sur
15.10.4
13.113.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
291
#7Sur
20.31.8
15.914.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4031
#12
12.80.4
11.511.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.9
4289
#44
1.91.8
7.45.5
Auto
Teleop
End