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Red32
461510.2
351112.6
44679.6
Blue6
40509.0
40324.1
1172.7
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3514020406080326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3511
#37
12.60.0
12.512.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
4050
#20
9.01.0
9.48.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4615
#19
10.20.0
11.811.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
4032
#45
4.11.0
5.84.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4467
#41
9.60.0
7.77.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.9
117
#43
2.71.0
2.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End