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Red98
398534.3
338632.5
353011.6
Blue94
400727.9
398811.3
449226.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions776120401001201401609894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.30.4
33.033.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
27.90.6
27.427.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
32.50.4
31.231.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
4492
#14
26.10.5
25.626.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3530
#36
11.60.4
10.310.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
3988
#17
11.30.5
10.811.3
Auto
Teleop
End