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Red20
449120.0
39816.2
40104.0
Blue0
33799.6
39759.3
39694.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23300406080200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4491
#18
20.00.3
7.47.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.4
3379
#32
9.62.4
7.65.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3981
#37
6.20.3
8.27.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
3975
#33
9.32.4
9.57.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4010
#39
4.00.3
7.97.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
3969
#38
4.72.4
11.59.1
Auto
Teleop
End