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Red41
336024.7
39694.7
353011.6
Blue24
270216.0
452616.8
354412.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384102060804124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.1
18.919.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
4526
#16
16.81.4
13.812.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3530
#36
11.60.1
10.510.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
2702
#15
16.01.4
14.212.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3969
#38
4.70.2
9.19.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.2
3544
#24
12.01.4
12.711.3
Auto
Teleop
End