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Red85
40104.0
399038.9
151722.9
Blue8
33799.6
41676.9
338213.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50230406080100858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.93.3
18.321.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.2
3382
#35
13.71.6
9.57.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1517
#13
22.92.0
19.521.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.3
3379
#32
9.61.6
5.33.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4010
#39
4.03.3
7.610.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
4167
#31
6.91.6
12.410.8
Auto
Teleop
End