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Red5
353011.6
39759.3
398310.8
Blue38
398811.3
39896.1
33799.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29180406080538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3530
#36
11.61.1
9.58.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
3988
#17
11.30.9
5.36.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3983
#22
10.81.9
9.17.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
3379
#32
9.61.5
6.78.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3975
#33
9.31.9
8.76.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
3989
#25
6.11.5
7.69.2
Auto
Teleop
End