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Red30
39877.4
39816.2
399621.3
Blue60
353011.6
338213.7
354412.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393002060803060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3996
#21
21.30.6
23.122.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
3382
#35
13.72.4
7.510.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3987
#28
7.40.6
9.99.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
3544
#24
12.02.4
13.415.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3981
#37
6.20.6
4.64.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
3530
#36
11.61.5
10.111.5
Auto
Teleop
End