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Red1
40104.0
398620.2
33799.6
Blue80
399621.3
397722.7
339625.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27410206080100180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3986
#10
20.22.3
8.86.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
25.53.5
12.816.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3379
#32
9.62.3
10.07.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.0
22.73.5
9.913.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4010
#39
4.02.3
10.27.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.3
3996
#21
21.33.5
15.619.0
Auto
Teleop
End