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Red44
398811.3
45943.6
449226.1
Blue0
39877.4
40104.0
35338.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions432106080100120440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4492
#14
26.10.3
25.425.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.3
3533
#30
8.81.3
10.18.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3988
#17
11.30.2
10.610.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
3987
#28
7.41.3
8.77.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4594
#26
3.60.3
3.33.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
4010
#39
4.01.3
5.34.0
Auto
Teleop
End