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Red119
398534.3
353011.6
338632.5
Blue83
336024.7
29614.6
262627.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7864204010012014016011983

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.30.7
33.434.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
27.00.3
27.227.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
32.50.7
31.532.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
24.70.3
24.925.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3530
#36
11.60.7
10.611.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
296
#19
14.60.3
14.314.6
Auto
Teleop
End