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Red38
375338.2
208015.8
222117.8
Blue62
33379.4
191228.2
384741.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67760501001502002503003862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3753
Unranked
38.21.5
36.434.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
3847
Unranked
41.80.6
37.837.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2221
Unranked
17.81.5
15.413.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.4
1912
Unranked
28.20.6
26.626.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2080
Unranked
15.81.5
16.214.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
3337
Unranked
9.40.7
10.09.3
Auto
Teleop
End