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Red96
384741.8
375338.2
299228.4
Blue90
208015.8
45640.1
192737.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103850501502009690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
Unranked
41.80.2
38.037.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
456
Unranked
40.10.1
39.139.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3753
Unranked
38.20.2
36.736.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
1927
Unranked
37.30.1
32.632.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2992
Unranked
28.40.2
25.525.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.6
2080
Unranked
15.80.1
16.116.2
Auto
Teleop
End