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Red81
40121.5
83628.9
382424.5
Blue166
24543.6
218721.6
1141.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6610705015020025081166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#6
28.90.2
28.228.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.7
245
#11
43.61.6
41.743.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3824
#27
24.50.2
23.824.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.9
11
#3
41.41.6
39.641.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
401
#13
21.50.2
20.821.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2187
#60
21.61.6
19.721.3
Auto
Teleop
End