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Red0
45337.5
265511.5
102712.4
Blue9
177218.6
13987.7
164817.1
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3043010015020009

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1027
#16
12.42.7
13.110.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
1772
#10
18.62.7
15.412.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2655
#49
11.52.7
11.38.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
17.12.7
9.26.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4533
#45
7.52.7
7.75.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1398
#54
7.72.7
16.714.0
Auto
Teleop
End