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Red10
47481.9
382424.5
281510.2
Blue20
48476.7
41517.2
102712.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322504060801001201401020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3824
#27
24.51.7
14.512.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
415
#23
17.20.5
11.410.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2815
#29
10.21.7
10.08.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
1027
#16
12.40.5
10.49.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4748
#64
1.91.7
6.44.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
4847
#48
6.70.5
4.54.0
Auto
Teleop
End