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Red32
39595.0
177218.6
131920.4
Blue36
319617.3
407325.9
48236.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333401020405060703236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1319
#12
20.40.1
13.413.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
25.90.2
13.113.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1772
#10
18.60.1
12.712.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
3196
#36
17.30.2
10.510.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3959
#47
5.00.1
7.67.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
4823
#34
6.20.2
9.79.9
Auto
Teleop
End