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Red92
236322.7
164817.1
34319.1
Blue10
47228.6
159812.4
31406.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4023060801001201409210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2363
#17
22.74.6
14.819.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.3
1598
#30
12.41.3
12.511.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
343
#18
19.14.6
14.419.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.5
4722
#57
8.61.3
6.65.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
17.14.6
8.112.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.0
3140
#46
6.11.3
6.85.4
Auto
Teleop
End