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Red14
42672.3
236322.7
319617.3
Blue10
153913.5
47481.9
45337.5
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions452901001502001410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2363
#17
22.72.4
17.314.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.2
1539
#61
13.51.8
12.210.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3196
#36
17.32.4
15.413.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.7
4533
#45
7.50.2
7.57.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4267
#59
2.32.4
9.87.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
4748
#64
1.95.9
1.97.7
Auto
Teleop
End