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Red35
8813.5
31406.1
131920.4
Blue7
10516.1
34756.0
13987.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35290206080100120140357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1319
#12
20.40.1
15.415.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.7
1398
#54
7.71.9
11.09.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
88
#35
13.50.1
12.913.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
1051
#51
6.11.9
10.88.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3140
#46
6.10.1
5.45.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
3475
#58
6.01.9
7.96.1
Auto
Teleop
End