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Red69
324214.6
382424.5
177218.6
Blue8
263215.3
191513.2
47228.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43350206080100120140698

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3824
#27
24.52.3
15.117.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.2
2632
#31
15.32.4
16.213.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1772
#10
18.62.3
15.517.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
1915
#38
13.22.4
14.812.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3242
#50
14.62.3
11.113.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
4722
#57
8.62.4
5.32.9
Auto
Teleop
End