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Red8
39764.7
458213.6
348910.7
Blue69
102712.4
83628.9
48236.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29430206080100120140869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4582
#32
13.61.9
12.010.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.3
836
#6
28.92.4
20.422.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3489
#40
10.71.9
12.911.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
1027
#16
12.42.4
12.514.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3976
#63
4.71.9
5.94.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
4823
#34
6.22.4
7.710.0
Auto
Teleop
End