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Red75
40838.9
236322.7
1141.4
Blue53
265511.5
40749.4
205923.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66280501001507553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#3
41.41.2
31.432.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.5
2059
#28
23.91.6
16.418.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2363
#17
22.71.2
19.420.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.2
2655
#49
11.51.6
10.011.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4083
#55
8.91.2
9.510.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
4074
#33
9.41.6
7.79.3
Auto
Teleop
End