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Red40
31406.1
39764.7
407512.9
Blue69
24543.6
177218.6
126112.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1658040801001201404069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4075
#42
12.91.5
12.914.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 30.7
245
#11
43.61.4
23.424.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3140
#46
6.11.5
5.57.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.5
1772
#10
18.61.4
17.719.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3976
#63
4.71.5
4.05.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.1
1261
#52
12.81.4
10.511.9
Auto
Teleop
End